Skip to main content

The Battle Between Short Sellers and Bitmine: Is Ethereum's Future in Jeopardy?

· By Dave Wolfy Wealth · 6 min read

Exploring the growing clash around Bitmine’s aggressive Ethereum treasury strategy and what it means for ETH investors.


Ethereum treasury companies like Bitmine are shaking up crypto markets. But recent reports highlight intense short-seller scrutiny, rapid share dilution, and fierce competition from Ethereum ETFs. What’s really going on behind Bitmine’s meteoric ETH accumulation? And could the company’s struggles ripple throughout the crypto ecosystem—impacting ETH itself?

In this article, you’ll get a clear breakdown of Bitmine’s pivot from Bitcoin mining to Ethereum treasury giant. We’ll unpack the controversial Kerryside Capital report warning about share dilution risks and transparency issues. Finally, you’ll understand the broader crypto treasury landscape dynamics affecting Ethereum’s future—and why investors should pay close attention.


Bitmine's Pivot: From Bitcoin Miner to Ethereum Treasury Giant

Originally called Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Bitmine made its name mining Bitcoin. But in mid-2025, the company abruptly abandoned mining and shifted focus to hoarding ETH (Ethereum’s native token) and ETH-equivalent assets. It condensed shares in a 20-to-1 reverse split and pulled off a significant $250 million capital raise.

Since July 2025, Bitmine’s Ethereum holdings skyrocketed from near zero to approximately 2.8 million ETH, making it the world’s largest Ethereum treasury company overnight.

  • Key Point: Bitmine raised over $10 billion by aggressively issuing new shares via an “at-the-market” (ATM) program — which allows selling shares continuously at prevailing market prices.
  • Result: This rapid share issuance risks diluting existing shareholders and dragging down Bitmine’s stock price.

Tom Lee, executive chairman of Bitmine and a known crypto strategist, has championed the thesis that Ethereum will be the settlement layer powering future decentralized finance, leading ETH’s price higher. But critics argue Bitmine’s rapid growth comes at a serious cost.


The Kerryside Capital Report: Why Traders Are Bearish on Bitmine Stock

Kerryside Capital, a notable investment firm, published a detailed report titled “Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc., BMNR, That Ain’t No Strategy.” They openly stated being short on Bitmine shares.

Some of their core criticisms:

  • Business Model Risks: Bitmine’s strategy mimics that of MicroStrategy, the Bitcoin treasury pioneer—issuing new shares to buy more crypto. But MicroStrategy’s MNAV (market value to net asset value multiple) has recently fallen over 50%, signaling declining investor confidence—and Bitmine might follow suit.
  • Share Dilution: Bitmine’s large-scale ATM sales and warrant structures dilute existing investors. For example, a direct offering disguised with warrants was actually priced 31% below the apparent premium, significantly siphoning shareholders’ value.
  • Transparency Concerns: After August 2025, Bitmine stopped regularly disclosing key metrics like NAV per share and fully diluted share count, raising alarm bells about the company’s actual growth.
  • Competitive Pressure: The upcoming launch of Ethereum ETFs offering easy, liquid ETH exposure threatens Bitmine’s relevance and its ability to maintain a premium stock price.

What Is MNAV, and Why Does It Matter?

MNAV (Multiple of Net Asset Value) is a ratio showing how the market values a company versus its actual crypto holdings.

  • MNAV > 1: Investors pay a premium, reflecting trust in management and growth outlook.
  • MNAV < 1: The stock trades below asset value, indicating waning confidence.

MicroStrategy’s MNAV dropped from 2.5x to around 1.2x recently. Bitmine’s MNAV also collapsed from over 2x to about 1.2x amidst its share dilution woes.

Why this matters: A falling MNAV limits a treasury company’s ability to raise funds by issuing stock—forcing them into a vicious cycle of dilution and asset sell-offs.


Answer Box

What happens if a crypto treasury company’s MNAV falls below 1x?

When MNAV dips below 1x, investors lose confidence, making it hard for the company to raise capital by issuing new shares. This often triggers forced asset sales to meet obligations, creating a downward spiral that can severely damage the company and the token’s market.


The Enlarging Crypto Treasury Landscape and ETF Competition

When MicroStrategy bought $250M in Bitcoin in 2020, access to Bitcoin exposure was limited. MicroStrategy’s pioneering DATCO (digital asset treasury company) model thrived on scarcity and strong leadership.

But now:

  • Over 200 Bitcoin-focused treasury companies exist.
  • Around 70 Ethereum treasury firms battle for market share.
  • Ethereum ETFs and altcoin ETFs are poised to launch, providing investors easier, cheaper, liquid exposure to ETH and staking benefits.

These ETFs could:

  • Draw liquidity away from treasury companies like Bitmine.
  • Compress MNAV premiums, making it tougher for DATCOs to issue shares profitably.
  • Conversely, ETFs could increase Ethereum’s visibility, potentially benefiting treasury companies indirectly.

Bitmine’s Transparency Issues: A Red Flag for Investors

Since August 25th, 2025, Bitmine has stopped regularly updating critical investor metrics publicly:

  • No updates on NAV per share.
  • No updates on fully diluted share count.

Investors and analysts watching Bitmine’s announcements have expressed frustration over the lack of clear data on whether Bitmine’s ETH per share is genuinely growing or stagnant.

The lack of transparency amid expansion slowdown is a significant warning sign for investors betting on Bitmine’s aggressive growth story.


Risks and What Could Go Wrong

  • Share Dilution: Continuous ATM issuances and complex warrants could erode shareholder value and stock prices dramatically.
  • Market Overcrowding: With hundreds of treasury companies and new ETFs, Bitmine faces stiff competition for investor capital.
  • Transparency Lapses: Missing disclosures increase uncertainty, undermining investor confidence.
  • Broader Crypto Market Impact: Bitmine is the second-largest digital asset treasury company overall. Its problems could trigger broader contagion effects for Ethereum and Bitcoin markets.
  • Regulatory/Crypto Bear Risk: New regulations or bearish crypto market cycles could compound Bitmine’s challenges.

Data Callout: Bitmine’s Market Dilemma in Numbers

  • Bitmine holds ~2.8 million ETH (~$4.7 billion at $1,670 per ETH approx).
  • Raised over $10 billion by issuing ~240 million new BMNR shares via ATM programs since July 2025. - MNAV dropped from >2x to ~1.2x within two months (August to October 2025).

This shows how Bitmine’s accelerated capital raise dwarfs its ETH accumulation progress, signaling a potential capital efficiency problem.


Actionable Summary

  • Bitmine swiftly switched from Bitcoin mining to Ethereum treasury company in 2025, amassing ~2.8M ETH.
  • Aggressive share issuance risks diluting existing shareholders and has triggered a sharp MNAV decline.
  • Transparency about critical investor metrics like NAV per share has diminished, raising red flags.
  • Competition from Ethereum ETFs and dozens of other treasury companies could pressure Bitmine’s business model further.
  • Bitmine’s troubles could ripple through the crypto treasury company sector and potentially impact ETH’s broader market dynamics.

Why Wolfy Wealth PRO Subscribers Should Watch Bitmine Closely

Get detailed alerts as Bitmine navigates these choppy waters. PRO members receive:

  • Timely breakdowns of Bitmine’s earnings and capital raises.
  • Model portfolio insights adjusting exposure to volatile Ethereum treasury companies.
  • Risk mitigation strategies focusing on MNAV trends and share dilution signals.

Don’t miss the full playbook and entry points in today’s Wolfy Wealth PRO brief.


FAQ

Q1: What is Bitmine’s core business strategy now?
A1: Bitmine buys and holds Ethereum, funding acquisitions primarily through issuing new shares to investors in the public market.

Q2: Why are short sellers bearish on Bitmine?
A2: They cite aggressive share dilution, decreasing MNAV, and lack of transparency, questioning the sustainability of Bitmine’s growth model.

Q3: How do Ethereum ETFs affect Bitmine and other treasury companies?
A3: ETFs offer cheaper, liquid ETH exposure, potentially draining investor capital from speculative treasury stocks like Bitmine and reducing their premiums.

Q4: What is MNAV and why is it important for treasury companies?
A4: MNAV measures company market value relative to its crypto holdings value. A high MNAV means premium valuation and easy capital raises. A low MNAV indicates problems raising funds and may lead to forced asset sales.

Q5: Should I be worried about Ethereum itself because of Bitmine?
A5: Problems at Bitmine could increase ETH volatility and pressure other treasury firms, but ETH’s fundamentals and wider ecosystem remain strong. Monitor developments but avoid panic.


Disclaimer: This article is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Crypto investments carry risk, including loss of principal. Always do your own research.


Ethereum treasury companies like Bitmine could cause serious volatility for ETH — for better or worse. Close scrutiny of their capital strategies, transparency, and MNAV movements is essential for crypto investors navigating this new frontier. Stay informed and stay ahead with Wolfy Wealth PRO.

By Wolfy Wealth - Empowering crypto investors since 2016

Subscribe to Wolfy Wealth PRO


Disclosure: Authors may be crypto investors mentioned in this newsletter. Wolfy Wealth Crypto newsletter, does not represent an offer to trade securities or other financial instruments. Our analyses, information and investment strategies are for informational purposes only, in order to spread knowledge about the crypto market. Any investments in variable income may cause partial or total loss of the capital used. Therefore, the recipient of this newsletter should always develop their own analyses and investment strategies. In addition, any investment decisions should be based on the investor's risk profile

About the author

Dave Wolfy Wealth Dave Wolfy Wealth
Updated on Oct 26, 2025